Malacca state elections are in full swing, and the election results will directly affect the national elections that may be held in the second half of next year.
Scholars believe that the BN, the League of Nations, and the League of Nations are competing against each other in all the state constituencies in Malacca this time, but in terms of strength, this is mainly a battle between BN and the League of Nations, among which the BN has a better chance of winning.
Malaysian political scholar Huang Jinfa told Lianhe Zaobao: "The League of Nations led by the Indigenous Solidarity Party and the Islamic Party is very weak in Malacca, so if there is a triangular or multi-angle war, the chances of winning the League of Nations are actually not great. Therefore, this state election in Malacca is basically a struggle between BN led by UMNO and Pakatan Harapan. "
Before the nomination, the Parti Pribumi Bersatu Malaysia and the Parti Islam Se discussed and cooperated with UMNO many times, in order to avoid the multi-angle war that would affect the election, but the negotiation finally broke down.
Huang Jinfa believes that UMNO and the Parti Islam Se played the whole game in the 2018 national election, which benefited Pakatan Harapan and won the election. However, this time, the stalemate between theParti Pribumi Bersatu Malaysia and UMNO will not benefit Pakatan Harapan.
He said that voters who support Pakatan Harapan are generally more particular about political ideas. However, Ximeng overthrew the Malacca state power by appealing for surrender and accepting rebellion before and then triggered state elections during the crown disease epidemic. Therefore, Ximeng will call on supporters this time, I'm afraid they won't be named, which may lead to a low turnout rate, and Umno's chances of winning will increase.
Huang Jinfa said: Umno, Parti Pribumi Bersatu Malaysia, and Parti Islam Se may look like killing each other this time, but in fact, all three parties have their own strategies behind them. "It can even be said that this is the result that each of the three parties has chosen what is best for themselves."
He said, for UMNO, we can't cooperate with the Parti Pribumi Bersatu Malaysia this time, lest Parti Pribumi Bersatu Malaysia takes the opportunity to grow again and become UMNO's long-term and powerful opponent. "In UMNO's view, after the last general election, the Tutuan Party not only won some UMNO constituencies, wooed many UMNO state councilors, but also took away the positions of state secretary and state executive councilor (state cabinet minister)."
He believes that UMNO's goal this time is to win 15 seats in one fell swoop so that it can organize the state government by itself.
As for the Parti Islam Se, Huang Jinfa said that the Iraqi party originally cooperated with UMNO after the last election, but now it is found that UMNO is actually stronger than the Parti Pribumi Bersatu Malaysia. "From the standpoint of the Parti Islam Se, UMNO will deal with the Parti Islam Se after defeating the Tutuan party. Therefore, the Iraqi Party is on the side of the Parti Pribumi Bersatu Malaysia this time. ""
As for the Parti Pribumi Bersatu Malaysia, he said, the leaders of the party know very well that their current power is mainly condensed by the resources in power. Once they are no longer in power, they will probably gradually decline like the 46 Spirit Party of that year. Therefore, the Parti Pribumi Bersatu Malaysia has been using resources to win over members of other political parties.
Huang Jinfa believes that this state election not only highlights that the ruling and opposition parties have no principles for job-hopping, but more importantly, the political system has no mechanism to curb job-hopping and arbitrary cabinet turnover.
He said that the candidates in the three camps of Greece, BN, and BN all have "political frogs". "If the people really want to solve the problem, they should not only vent their dissatisfaction with political parties and politicians but also ask all three parties to publicly promise to amend the constitution immediately after the election to implement the anti-job-hopping and recall laws."